Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 9.176971e-05 1.106871e-04 0.000131 0.000154 0.000180 0.000207 0.000238
2024-10-20 6.700720e-05 9.070293e-05 0.000118 0.000151 0.000189 0.000231 0.000281
2024-10-27 5.471306e-05 8.076630e-05 0.000112 0.000151 0.000198 0.000252 0.000317
2024-11-03 3.979164e-05 6.556812e-05 0.000098 0.000141 0.000195 0.000258 0.000335
2024-11-10 3.603324e-05 6.367213e-05 0.000100 0.000149 0.000212 0.000286 0.000379
2024-11-17 2.826758e-05 5.530174e-05 0.000093 0.000145 0.000213 0.000296 0.000402
2024-11-24 2.166433e-05 4.730113e-05 0.000085 0.000139 0.000211 0.000301 0.000416
2024-12-01 1.675714e-05 4.114546e-05 0.000079 0.000135 0.000212 0.000309 0.000436
2024-12-08 1.307517e-05 3.619722e-05 0.000074 0.000132 0.000213 0.000317 0.000454
2024-12-15 9.640598e-06 3.096446e-05 0.000068 0.000127 0.000211 0.000321 0.000468
2024-12-22 7.498548e-06 2.764930e-05 0.000065 0.000125 0.000214 0.000330 0.000488
2024-12-29 5.817484e-06 2.487799e-05 0.000062 0.000125 0.000217 0.000341 0.000510
2025-01-05 3.602588e-06 2.086367e-05 0.000058 0.000125 0.000226 0.000364 0.000555
2025-01-12 1.783296e-06 1.634027e-05 0.000052 0.000121 0.000230 0.000381 0.000593
2025-01-19 9.487172e-07 1.385107e-05 0.000050 0.000122 0.000239 0.000404 0.000639
2025-01-26 2.019553e-07 9.535094e-06 0.000042 0.000113 0.000233 0.000406 0.000657
2025-02-02 1.041670e-07 9.120826e-06 0.000044 0.000120 0.000252 0.000443 0.000721
2025-02-09 3.847791e-09 6.830094e-06 0.000039 0.000117 0.000253 0.000455 0.000753
2025-02-16 NaN 4.805015e-06 0.000035 0.000111 0.000251 0.000463 0.000777
2025-02-23 NaN 3.398630e-06 0.000031 0.000108 0.000252 0.000474 0.000807
2025-03-02 NaN 2.392172e-06 0.000028 0.000105 0.000254 0.000486 0.000838
2025-03-09 NaN 1.487087e-06 0.000025 0.000101 0.000253 0.000493 0.000862
2025-03-16 NaN 9.982612e-07 0.000023 0.000099 0.000256 0.000508 0.000896